In 2025, China's steel exports set a new historical record with a volume of 119 million tons, highlighting the strong international competitiveness of China's steel industry. However, high points are often pre signals of turning points, and in recent years, the characteristic of "increasing quantity and decreasing price" in steel exports has become significant, making it difficult for price competition to improve export efficiency. 

In 2026, with the emergence of pressure on the RMB exchange rate, continuous tariff wars and overseas anti-dumping measures, the landing of export licenses, and the implementation of carbon tariffs, the pattern of China's steel exports may be reshaped. This is not only a turning point for the peak of export volume, but also indicates that the domestic steel industry's exports will face a strategic transformation from "quantity" to "quality", from "price competition" to "rule adaptation".

Looking ahead to 2026, with the rising pressure on the RMB exchange rate, the combined effects of tariff wars and anti-dumping measures, the landing of steel export licenses, and the increase in compliance costs with carbon tariffs, the domestic steel industry's exports will accelerate the transformation from "quantity" to "quality" and from "price competition" to "rule adaptation". In the long run, China's steel exports may enter a peak and fall channel, but with the coordinated promotion of export structure optimization, green and low-carbon production, and data governance compliance, the Chinese steel industry will firmly move towards high-quality and sustainable development.